Multiple first-round games came down to the MNF wire, and I'm hoping for similar drama this week. One thing is for sure: there will be no back-to-back champions in any conference. 2017 AFC Champion Zerger's Redlegs lost, as did 2017 NFC Champion Cliburn's Arrogant Americans. 2017 PFC champion Brake and Boomtown Brawlers just missed the playoffs.
The six-seed Doughboys trounced the Warm Bodies, as Nye was betrayed by Jordan Reed and Jared Goff (despite a whopping 31 points from Ezekiel Elliott). Meanwhile the Redlegs underachieved at every position except for QB, where rookie Lamar Jackson did more than his part. The Vultures moved on with big games from Patrick Mahomes and Julio Jones.
If Green's Doughboys win this week, they'll be heading to the Thunder Bowl for the third time, although they've yet to secure a championship. If Melvin Gordon plays for War Pony, I think it'll be enough to push Venable's team over the top. But, if not, this is the epitome of a toss-up.
Of 18 playoff contenders, eight of them (almost half!) account for 15 previous championships. They are:
Click on the matchup title to view the game on Yahoo!.
Venable and Peacock enjoy a first-round bye this week, while last year's championship participants (Zerger and Green) join Nye and Brosh in having to fight their way to the semifinals.
The early game Sunday pits Green against Nye, who seems perpetually underrated. The Doughboys lost James Conner to injury this week, but their team is solid. It will have to be if Green wants to move on to the semifinals for the third-straight season. I don't think he does, although his team is arguably superior.
The OIL's analytics and statistics department has crunched the weekly data across 15 different OIL seasons to provide you with the below playoff odds calculator. While this chart cannot take into account your team makeup or remaining schedule, it can tell you what percentage of teams with your record reached the playoffs or championship game.
The data is now available in the OIL league history spreadsheet and is embedded at okiraqi.org/playoffs. You can access the file directly here.
It's finally here: the PLAYOFFS. 18 teams are competing for three conference trophies and one OIL trophy. This year is a mix of old and new as perennial contenders and newly-competitive managers will battle over the next four weeks. To the matchups!
Click on team logos to view manager pages on okiraqi.org. Click matchup titles to view the matchup on Yahoo!
Congratulations to Zerger, Cliburn, Pyle, Lutonsky, Buehre, and Neely on finishing in the top two in their respective conferences. Enjoy your wins this week.
For the second-consecutive season, defending champion Lance Zerger and his Redlegs have clinched a first-round bye. Joining him is Sir Neely and his Hooligans, making their first appearance in the top two.
Joining Zerger and Neely in the AFC playoffs are Green, Nye, Schuster (making the playoffs for the first time), and Peacock.
Both these managers are returning to the playoffs after being strong contenders in 2016, but neither could pull off the championship last season. Look for the Doughboys to make a strong statement that they are not over their 2016 Thunder Bowl defeat.
By OIL Commissioner Justin C. Cliburn
The championship games are set. Semifinals week included upsets, blowouts, pillow fights, and nailbiters. Game-by-game analysis after the jump.
Only 12 teams remain in contention in the OIL playoffs after Nye, Roe, Cliburn, Jessen, Baldwin, and Cordes were knocked out in round one. Half of the semifinals field had a bye last week, so this is their first test since Rivalry Week. Good luck, guys. As always, game-by-game analysis after the jump.
By OIL Commissioner and Arrogant Americans Manager Justin C. Cliburn
Aside from Le'Veon Bell having a career day, seemingly everyone significantly under-performed this week. And all this illustrates the value of a first-round bye: four of the six first-round bye teams (Pyle; Cobb; Tadlock; Buehre) would have lost to any of the playoff teams had they played this week, while another first-round bye team (Zerger) would have lost to three of four AFC playoff teams had he played this week. Only Peacock would have beaten anyone he faced had he played this week.
But those teams didn't play this week, because they were rewarded for outstanding regular seasons. Our league always rewards success, and I have no regrets instituting this playoff policy six years ago, even if it cost me this week. Here is the week one recap:
This will be a theme moving forward: incredibly low score totals for the league's best teams. Green won this one while scoring fewer than 120 points; Nye failed to break triple-digits. Nye finishes his season 9-5 while Green advances to face Peacock.
Brosh rode the golden leg of Justin Tucker to a Monday Night Victory over Roe's Rebels. Brosh will face Zerger in the semifinals, while Roe finishes his season 9-5. Poor games from Colin Kaepernick, Antonio Brown (by his standards), Michael Crabtree, Brandin Cooks, and Thomas Rawls doomed the Rebels.
By OIL Commissioner Justin C. Cliburn
42 teams have been whittled down to 18 in a quest for trophies, jerseys, a helmet, and everlasting pride. The OIL Playoffs are here. Congratulations to those teams that earned a first-round bye, in particular Zerger and Pyle. Zerger set a new OIL record for most points in a season while Pyle tied the OIL record for best regular season record (12-1, previously held solely by Cliburn's 2010 team). Peacock received a bye after setting a record for least points in a season last year. Cobb earned the bye for the first time in his OIL career, as did Tadlock and Buehre in the PFC. Full analysis of each first-round matchup after the jump.
Teams Enjoying a First-Round Bye:
Zerger and Peacock (AFC); Pyle and Cobb (NFC); Tadlock and Buehre (PFC)
By Arrogant Americans Manager Justin C. Cliburn
It took 12 weeks, but we finally have 2/3 of the playoff picture sorted out. Pyle, Cobb, Finch, and Cliburn have clinched playoff spots. Jessen, Trovillo, Bruesch, and Duffy are fighting for the final two berths. That makes this Rivalry Week incredibly important. Each of the four managers still hoping to clinch a playoff spot are in absolute must-win situations in this, the most important week of the season. Good luck to everyone but Duffy. Fuck Duffy, for this is Hate Week.
Head-to-head records in paranthesis
#4 Arrogant Americans vs. #8 Hangovers