After four weeks, enough games have been played for our OPR to give an accurate representation of team strength. Leading the way are Green, Schmidt, and Peacock, with Cliburn, Schuster, and Musselman bringing up the rear.
The middle of the season is where you start to separate the wheat from the chaff, and that's what's going to happen here. Lynn's Brewmasters are 4-0 and ranked number one. Lynn deserves credit for that, but does his team have enough depth to survive the bye week blues? I think not. The second-ranked Cocks also have multiple players on a bye this week, but Peacock stacked depth from day one. His squad doesn't look like it will miss a beat this week, even with backups taking on starting roles.
Number one vs. number two. Alpha vs. Bravo. First Platoon vs. HQ. Morgan vs. Schmidt. Two original OklahomIraqis competing in their 14th season. In that time, Morgan has one championship under his belt, while Schmidt has not made the playoffs since 2009. That is about to change, as Schmidt's team is head and shoulders above the rest of the league.
The Whackers, meanwhile, are sitting pretty at 3-1 and led by Deshaun Watson, Alvin Kamara, Cooper Kupp, and pair of top TEs: George Kittle and Austin Hooper. Unfortunately for Morgan, Dead Again has Patrick Mahomes, who I predict will win another one. Schmidt moves to 5-0, which would be the same as or more than his wins in six separate seasons.
While this may not have the caché of a number one vs. number two matchup, there's a lot to like here. The Orangebloods began the season 2-0 but have since limped to a 2-2 record. If they lose this game, their playoff chances drop to 35.1%. This is a caged animal game, and we'll see how McKay responds with his back against the wall.
Meanwhile, Team Tadlock is ranked number one at 3-1, but there are three other 3-1 teams nipping at his heels. If Tadlock wins, he raises his playoff chances to 83.8%. If he loses, he tumbles down the standings and sees his playoff chances drop to below 50%.
There is a lot to like on McKay's team, including promising rookie WR Diontae Johnson. But Tadlock's team is just too strong to pick against him. That's my pick.
Sadly, we are a quarter of the way through the 2019 season, and four teams (including the three-time champion Arrogant Americans) have yet to win a game. Meanwhile, three teams have yet to lose a game: the AFC's Brewmasters and Cocks (which are separated by less than one point at the top of the standings) and the NFC's Dead Again (who lead the league in points scored). Click on the standings to view each conference on Yahoo.
There has been a change at the top of the standings in the AFC and PFC, where Roe and Tadlock, respectively, have wrestled away the top ranking. But the NFC remains unchanged, as Schmidt rolled on to 3-0 with the 0-3 'Mericans on the menu in Week Four. As always, click on the image to view the standings directly on Yahoo.
It is rare that we get three matchups featuring title favorites this early in the season, but here we are.
Roe's Rebels are 2-0, but they're dealing with the loss of both QB Drew Brees and WR Tyreek Hill right as they face the top team in the AFC. The Vultures won it all last year behind the arm of QB Patrick Mahomes, but they're 2-0 and ranked number one this year thanks to a solid draft that is producing big at every position. Due to injuries, I'm picking Brosh to knock off the Rebs.
Cobb went old school in the draft, and his Dogs of War have continued to turn back the clock over the first two weeks of the season by starting three RBs and two TEs. Meanwhile, the Hangovers are 1-1 after averaging an astonishing 171.95 points per game. While the Dogs have a better record, I'm picking Duffy to win this one, despite losing Tyreek Hill in Week One. Regardless, whoever wins this one will position themselves as the main competitor to Dead Again for NFC supremacy.
The Amarillo contingent of the PFC face off this this week in an early matchup of seemingly playoff-bound teams. But the Vandals are missing WR Alshon Jeffery this week, and WRs Sterling Shepard and Nelson Agholor are no sure bet to play. Therefore, I'm picking Stanley and the Havoc to win in their first full season in the league.
Neely and the Hooligans are fresh off a beatdown of the number-one ranked draft class, after finishing in last place in 2018. The schedule doesn't get easier this week, as they face two-time AFC champion Zerger and his Redlegs. Regardless of whether Antonio Brown plays for the Redlegs this week, I am picking Neely to notch his second win of the season (half of his 2018 total).
This may seem odd that the two worst teams in the NFC qualify as the game of the week. But these two are perennial contenders in danger of falling to 0-2. Historically, less than 25% of 0-2 teams have made the playoffs. DominationStation just lost TE Hunter Henry, but I'm counting on Jessen to fill that position and doom the Hippies to an 0-2 start.
The two-time champion against the newcomer. The Havoc joined the league last season and drafted their own team for the first time this season. I'm picking Stanley to knock off the two-time champ Brawlers.
Week One is in the books, and 2019 season is officially in full swing. Click any standings image below to go to the conference's Yahoo page. OPR will be released after Week Four, as the sample size is too small this early in the season for it to mean anything.
For the first time since November 20, 2017, the AMMODOGS have notched a win. That's 658 days, 94 weeks, 22 months, 15 losses, three NFC champions, three Antonio Brown jerseys, two OIL drafts, and one 0-13 season ago. Congratulations to Rogers, as he can look forward to 2019 now that the 0-13 monkey is off his back.