For most of us, Week 13 constituted the end of the 2019 season. Congratulations to those still competing, and condolences to those that aren't (myself included). Below are the final regular season standings and OPR rankings.
A new wrinkle to the OPR chart is the expected record of each team based on their OPR. The expected record is based on 299 individual seasons of data, forecasting a W/L record for each OPR.
I cannot remember a season where not a single team had clinched a playoff spot going into Rivalry Week, but that's the case in the NFC. In contrast, the AFC has four playoff spots locked up, while the PFC has two. Seeds 1-6 are all still up for grabs in the NFC. Crazy.
You may notice a jump in OPR scores from previous weeks. Regrettably, you should know there was one error in an individual manager's raw OPR formula, and that skewed everything. I have found and fixed it, and the results are below.
There are only two games left, and yet only three teams out of 42 have clinched playoff spots: the AFC's Brewmasters and the PFC's Nightmares and Team Tadlock. No NFC team has clinched a playoff berth in what may be the most competitive seasons yet in that conference.
There are new number-one teams in the AFC and NFC, while Team Tadlock continues to lead the PFC. The next two weeks include a lot of players on bye, so now is when teams with depth rise to the top.
Team Tadlock now leads the OIL in OPR, with the Rebel Alliance and Nightmares right on their tail.
There are only five weeks until the playoffs, and the contenders are beginning to separate themselves from the pack. The AFC and PFC have 7-1 teams in first place, while the NFC's pace-setter is 6-2. Only one team remains winless: the AFC's Warm Bodies.
Not only are the top two teams in OPR from the AFC, the two will meet this week in the OIL game of the week. The PFC's Team Tadlock is in third place while the highest NFC team is the Whackers in sixth place. The AFC three of the top five teams in the OIL, but, of the worst 14 teams in the OIL, half of them also hail from the AFC.
After four weeks, enough games have been played for our OPR to give an accurate representation of team strength. Leading the way are Green, Schmidt, and Peacock, with Cliburn, Schuster, and Musselman bringing up the rear.
We are one month away from the OIL's 14th season. Fifty-four managers have competed since the first season in 2006. Forty-two of those 54 currently compete in the OIL. Eleven of the 42 have won at least one championship. Three of those 42 are defending conference champions (Brosh, Pyle, and Buehre). One is the defending OIL champion (Brosh). Below are the current OIL managers sorted by career OIL Power Rating.
Congratulations to all 18 playoff contenders. There were some incredibly tough breaks (such as Duffy losing two games by a combined 0.15 points or Tadlock missing the playoffs despite having the second-most points in the PFC), but that's the way the cookie crumbled. Pennington set the record for most points in a season while Rogers sadly broke the record for most losses (with an 0-13 record).
The final OPR rankings are below. Pennington topped the league but fell just short of setting the record for best OPR (1.297 in 2010 by the Arrogant Americans). The top 10 is comprised of four NFC teams and three each from the AFC and PFC.
Heading into Rivalry Week, a whopping 12 of 18 playoff berths are clinched. Below are the standings and playoff picture for each conference.
Well, this is a first. With one week remaining, all six playoff spots are clinched. Now all that is left is the seeding. Venable and War Pony are locked into the one seed and a first-round bye. The number-two spot is a toss-up between Green and Peacock, as the Doughboys and Cocks are separated by just 13 points. Should each of them win, it will come down to their point totals to determine who gets a coveted first-round bye. The Warm Bodies and Vultures each sport the same 8-4 record as the second- and third-place teams, but Nye and Brosh are so far behind in points that neither can overtake Green and Peacock. The six seed is Zerger and his two-time defending champion Redlegs. With a win and losses by three of the four teams ahead of him (aside from Venable), he can finish as high as third due to his high point total.